Conan will flop on the Tonight Show
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A_rod — 16 years ago(July 06, 2009 10:53 PM)
People, in case you forgot the rule on trolling here
http://lh5.ggpht.com/carlos57775/SCobc6EL_hI/AAAAAAAABys/RG0y66Z3ZDY/s 288/Don%27t%20feed%20the%20troll.jpg
Any feeding of a troll has severe consequences.
Sure it may start like this
http://kidsdontgetit.files.wordpress.com/2008/11/gremlins2splash.jpg
but, it can quickly turn into this
http://www.concertshots.com/August 2006/cs-CarlosMencia10-Athens0816 06.JPG -
danny666 — 16 years ago(July 07, 2009 12:58 AM)
I was watching Conan when he was getting a 0.7 rating back in '93. I'm just stating a prediction and also bumping my post so it will still be here when it's time to gloat. Most of my predictions are usually right. Imagine your shock when Conan gets a 2.3 rating.
It's based on the fact of what Conan's ratings were at 12:35(1.5) and how I think the original Leno audience that watched NBC at 11:35 will decide to break the habit and not watch. Specifically using my experience as a former Conan veiwer to estimate that length of time it would take get sick of him. The time would be faster for a Leno only fan than a regular Conan fan.
And I'm not a Leno fan, always thought his comedy bit sucked, but his monologue was always watchable. And depending on the guest it had to be a pretty good one, to make me keep watching through Leno's comedy bits. I think Conan's comedy bits are his strength but they are repetitive, but I've only watched his shows from 93-2000, but they seem the same based on the few TSWCOB I've seen. -
danny666 — 16 years ago(July 09, 2009 08:51 PM)
The week of June 29th the average rating for Conan was 2.1, that's for total audience.
http://tvbythenumbers.com/2009/07/09/“nightline”-was-1-among-total-viewers-adults-25-54-and-adults-18-49-for-the-week/22588
(Week of June 29, 2009)
TOTAL VIEWERS A25-54(000)/ Rtg A18-49(000)/ Rtg
ABC Nightline 4,020,000 1,590,000/ 1.3 1,320,000/ 1.0
CBS Late Show 3,580,000 1,530,000/ 1.2 1,100,000/ .8
NBC Tonight 2,420,000 1,270,000/ 1.0 1,290,000/ 1.0
Source: NTI
Okay Conan was in reruns, but I said within three months. I still think that Conan will get 2.0 rating for new episodes too. The magic number is 2.3 million total audience, because a ratings point equals 1.15 million viewers. -
danny666 — 16 years ago(July 09, 2009 10:16 PM)
I said a 2.0 rating within three months. First off I don't recall Leno ever getting a 2.0 rating rerun or not, even a 3.0 rating would be a low rating for a Leno rerun. It's pretty pathetic rating and just because you don't like the message doesn't make it "trolling".
Again, Conan will get an unheard of 2.0 rating or below within three months of his show, I'll even say it can be a new episode. But I'm just noting that it already hit below the 2.3 rating, so I don't ever have to admit I'm wrong. I'm already proven right with this 2.1 rating that Conan got average throughout the week. Frankly, I wish they'd post each individual days, because it had to have hit below 2.0 on one of the days. -
danny666 — 16 years ago(July 16, 2009 09:03 PM)
Okay it's official. I am right on my 'shocking' prediction that Conan would get a 2.0 rating, and it's a new episode!(I mean I was kind of hedging by not mentioning new, I was thinking a 2.0 for a rerun within 3 months.)
Again, I like Conan, but I honestly see him getting a sub 1.6 rating before the end of the year. My other new prediction is that he will average below a 2.0 rating for an entire week(new episodes) sometime after Leno starts in September.
Ratings will freefall once Leno starts in September, and also that a low ratings 'storyline' is known by the mainstream audience. We will see new lows.from lastest ratings press release:
LATE SHOW beat "The Tonight Show" in households (2.6/07 vs. 2.0/05, +30%) and viewers (3.68m vs. 2.82m, +30%). It was LATE SHOWs largest margin of victory against an all first-run week of "Tonight Show" broadcasts in both households and viewers since the week ending Feb. 25, 2000 -
danny666 — 16 years ago(July 30, 2009 12:12 PM)
Here's the actual numbers for week #8:
Conan: 1.8/5 2.51m viewers, 18-49 1.0, 25-54 Tie,
David: 2.4/6 3.32m viewers, 18-49 0.8, 25-54 Tie
I just want to maintain the theme I had from my Conan will flop thread that I started in early June. This is not about Letterman. I've always stated that his ratings will stay relatively the same. It is about Conan continuing to lose the Tonight show audience. It's just so obvious to see. He had a 1.4 rating at late night, who and why would more people want to watch his type of show, especially the Leno audience. Using my previous Conan viewing history and the rate I became disenchanted with his show(as a hardcore Conan fan) I projected an accelerated timeline it would take for the "Leno only" audience to be sick of him. It's definitely at a faster rate than I even expected. I thought it would be a solid two months of Conan bodyblow of lameness(aka pantomiming each joke, same batch of bits, etc), before their would be a slight downward tick then would rapidly excelerate.
I still see the ratings going down even worse. I think Conan is going to lose some core fans, his show has been that terrible lately.
The new variable I'm seeing is the core audience will abandon Conan, so I don't know where the botton will be. I thought a 1.5 rating would be the floor. Again I saw a free-fall of Conan ratings when Leno took over, but frankly Conan already chased the Leno viewers, so it may not be a factor. The new question is can he keep his base and maintain that 1.5 bottom rating. -
danny666 — 16 years ago(August 13, 2009 12:31 PM)
Week of August 3rd ratings are in and Conan continues to get that 'outrageously low' rating of 2.0 that you mocked me for back on June 11th, when I made my shockingly bold prediction. A 2.0 rating was unheard of when I made it for the venerable Tonight Show.
Late Night ratings for 8-3 to 8-7 2009
Conan: 2.0/5 (+0.2), 2.94m viewers, 18-34 690k, 18-49 1.1 (1.5m).
David: 2.1/6 (repeats), 2.95m viewers, 18-34 350k , 18-49 0.7 (900k).
Again I will highlight a doubter from this thread and demand an apology from them. I will continue to bump this thread as long as Conan gets a 2.0 HH rating or below. This week's doubter is Goldenstate5. Who posted on July 6th using Conan's inflated first week's ratings "Currently he has an average of 3.6 and above and has a kick ass younger demographic. Your evidence behind this or are you just sticking to be a slimy, good-for-nothing troll?"
The fact is Conan only has a 1.0 rating(1.1 rating when it goes against LS reruns). That is pathetic it is not 3.6. Leno was getting a 1.6 in the 'younger demographic' rating under any circumstances it means failure. I WAS RIGHT. YOU WERE WRONG. ADMIT IT AND APOLOGIZE!!! -
danny666 — 16 years ago(August 06, 2009 10:31 AM)
The week of July 27th, Conan continued his sub 2.0 ratings streak. Remember on June 11th, I told you folks so, so every week of sub 2.0 ratings I will highlight a doubter.
On June 11th, comicon said "Looks like Conan is already rebounding. Good call though. You came in just when your prediction looked like a safe call for you, after his ratings started to tank for a few days, and then they immediately shot back up! What other bold predictions have you? Ha ha. "
As I replied to you a day later I said within three months, and boy has Conan's ratings really tanked, we still have over a month to go and he continues to post sub 2.0 ratings. I was right. You were wrong. Please apologize.
Current rating for Conan the week of July 27th, 2009 is 1.8. -
simpsonman — 16 years ago(August 06, 2009 11:34 AM)
well see there's already a ratings thread with 50 pages. we don't need you telling us the ratings as well.
and frankly no one gives a beep about your opinions. if you don't like the show then don't watch. simple as that.
maybe it's during your mel gibson prayer time
.
It's uter
US
, not uter
YOU
! - Homer convincing Marge to become a surrogate. -
danny666 — 16 years ago(August 20, 2009 08:55 PM)
Conan got a 1.9 rating the week of August 10th. THIS WAS AGAINST LETTERMAN RERUNS! Again it's an embarrassment of riches on the Conan will flop thread. I thought he'd tank closer to the end of the third month. But he was getting sub 2.0 ratings about a month into his run.
This week's doubter is Simpsonman3000. He was full of piss and vinegar thinking Conan would succeed on the Tonight Show. Now I sense that there is real fear in the mentally challenged simspsonman5000 that his favorite host could be sitting out for three years of his contract.
Who knows what will happen about Conan on the Tonight Show. THE POINT IS I WAS RIGHT AND YOU WERE WRONG. CONAN DID GET A SUB 2.0 RATING WITHIN THREE MONTHS OF MY JUNE 11th, 2009 prediction. Please apologize. -
simpsonman — 16 years ago(August 20, 2009 09:13 PM)
we'll apologize when you run back under your bridge, anti-semetic troll
go kill some jews which i bet you fantasize about every day of your life and leave imdb alone
.
It's uter
US
, not uter
YOU
! - Homer convincing Marge to become a surrogate. -
danny666 — 16 years ago(August 20, 2009 09:36 PM)
You got nothing to say about Conan sub 2.0 rating. You thought I was would be wrong but I was right. Please apologize.
I see you read some of my "Funny People" comments. I did predict that it would flop and my opinion was that it was too jewish and that people in the center of the country wouldn't see it. I was right. I also said it would make between 18-22ish million on opening weekend. correct. And that it would take in less than 55 million, looking good on that one too. I made this prediction A WEEK BEFORE THE FILM WAS RELEASED. Experts were saying it would make up to 40 million opening weekend. I amaze myself. I also said on the Funny People board, that Julie and Julia would make way more than Funny People even though it was on 700 less screens. Again I was correct. It's a gift.
Quit calling me an anti-semite, not that's it's a bad thing, but it's VERY inaccurate. I aint no jew lover mind you, but don't nessarily hate the jew.
But let's get back on topic. Conan got a sub 2.0 rating. It was a bold prediction back on June 11th, but now it's considered a normal week, which should be very sad for Conan fans.
